Received:
2021-08-18 | Accepted:
2021-10-10 | Published:
2021-12-30
Title
Crisis diagnosis in cross-border region: lessons from the pandemic
Abstract
In the article, methods and tools for diagnosing crisis phenomena in the conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic, based on the example of border regions of the Baltic Sea countries and the Northwestern Federal District of the Russian Federation, were presented. Governmental measures and restrictions on the functioning of the economic subjects introduced in the border regions caused some shock and stress situation, which are of great importance for the course of the crisis conditions and the way out of the crisis. The purpose of the diagnosis is to establish a specific recognition of the research object, to provide a specific description and to formulate a final document or a conclusion about the condition of this object within a specified research completion date. In other words, the diagnosis allows the determination of the state of the research object and the development of a conclusion from these results, which can be based on indicators, coefficients, standards, in order to propose real positive changes up to the definition of the strategy and development tactics. The study uses the methods of systemic, structural, factor and comparative analysis, considering common and available parameters. A qualitative diagnosis of the object is carried out based on the algorithm and research stages. Specific problems are investigated on the basis of indicators and characteristics that are comparable in studies of corona crisis phenomena. Currently, the frontier economy is facing new challenges that test the basic mechanisms of functioning in crisis conditions. All these processes imply measures to eliminate the consequences of post-pandemic phenomena. This research can be used by the public administration units in diagnosing the processes of cross-border cooperation in the period of recovering from the post-pandemic crisis.
Keywords
cross-border cooperation, cross-border region, border region, COVID-19 pandemic, diagnosis, diagnostic algorithm, crisis modeling
JEL classifications
F02
, F50
URI
http://jssidoi.org/jesi/article/911
DOI
Pages
223-237
This is an open access issue and all published articles are licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
References
Adams-Prassl, A., Boneva, T., Golin, M., & Rauh, C. (2020). Inequality in the impact of the coronavirus shock: evidence from real time surveys, IZA. Retrieved April 21, 2020, from https://www.inet.econ.cam.ac.uk/working-paper-pdfs/wp2018.pdf
Search via ReFindit
Baker, S.R., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., & Terry, S.J.. (2020). COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty. National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from . https://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26983 https://www.nber.org/papers/w26983
Search via ReFindit
Balashov, A.P. (2004). Antikrizisnoe upravlenie. Novosibirsk, 167.
Search via ReFindit
Beland, L.-P., Brodeur, A., & Wright, T. (2020). The Short-Term Economic Consequences of Covid-19: Exposure to Disease, Remote Work and Government Response, Social Science Research Network. Retrieved April 16, 2021, from https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=3584922
Search via ReFindit
Belyaev, A.A. (2015). Antikrizisnoe upravlenie. Moskva: YUniti, 311.
Search via ReFindit
Bilchak, M. (2011). On the assessment of cross-border regions’ development potential, The Baltic Region, 2(8), 119–124. https://dx.doi.org/10.5922/2079-8555-2011-2-14
Search via ReFindit
Biyakov, O.A. (2004). Teoriya ekonomicheskogo prokonstranstva: metodologicheskij i regional’nyj aspekty. Tomsk: Izdatelstvo Tomskogo universiteta.
Search via ReFindit
Breznau, N. (2021). The welfare state and risk perceptions: The Novel Coronavirus Pandemic and public concern in 70 countries. European Societies, 23 (1), 33–46, https://doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2020.1793215
Search via ReFindit
Claeson, M. & Hanson, S. (2021). COVID-19 and the Swedish enigma. The Lancet, 397 (10271), 259–261. 32750-1 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)
Search via ReFindit
Coccia, M. (2020). Factors determining the diffusion of COVID-19 and suggested strategy to prevent future accelerated viral infectivity similar to COVID. Science of the Total Environment, 729. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138474
Search via ReFindit
Ehlert, A. (2020). The socio-economic determinants of COVID-19: A spatial analysis of German county level data. Retrieved April 16, 2021, from . https://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140459 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140459v1
Search via ReFindit
Federal State Statistics Service. Retrieved February 22, 2021, from https://eng.rosstat.gov.ru
Search via ReFindit
Hauser, A., Counotte, M., Margossian, C., Konstantinoudis, G., Low, N., Althaus, C., & Riou J. (2020). Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 mortality during the early stages of an epidemic: a modelling study in Hubei, China and Northern Italy. Retrieved February 2, 2021, form . https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003189 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031104v3
Search via ReFindit
Hennig, A. (2021). The spatial dimension of coronavirus crisis management and the role of subnational actors in the German-Polish border region. European Societies, 23(1). https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2020.1846065
Search via ReFindit
Hensvik, L., Le Barbanchon, T., & Rathelot R. (2021). Job search during the COVID-19 crisis. Journal of Public Economics, 194. Retrieved March 1, 2021, from . https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104349 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047272720302139
Search via ReFindit
Humer, A. (2020). The Corona pandemic is probing our societal basis: the functioning of Service of General Interest in cities and regions. Retrieved May 19, 2021, form https://ersa.org/forumcoronavirus/
Search via ReFindit
Jańczak, J. (2020). The German-Polish border, re-bordering and the pandemic: centers vs. peripheries? Working Paper Series B/ORDERS IN MOTION Nr. 8, Frankfurt (Oder), Vadrina, 17–19. January 22, 2021, from https://repozytorium.amu.edu.pl/bitstream/10593/25862/1/129.%202020%20G-P%20border%20under%20Covid.pdf
Search via ReFindit
Janssen, M., & van der Voort, H. (2020) Agile and adaptive governance in crisis response: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic. International Journal of Information Management, 55. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2020.102180
Search via ReFindit
Klatt, M. (2020). What has happened to our cross-border regions? Corona, unfamiliarity and transnational borderland activism in the Danish-German borderregion. Borders in Perspective, 4, 43–47.
Search via ReFindit
Knickel, M., Neuberger, S., Klerkx, L., Knickel, K., Brunori, G., & Saatkamp, H. (2021). Strengthening the Role of Academic Institutions and Innovation Brokers in Agri-Food Innovation: Towards Hybridisation in Cross-Border Cooperation. Sustainability, 13(4899). https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su13094899
Search via ReFindit
Knight, F. (2017). Risk, uncertainty and profit. New edition, Wilmington: Vernon Art and Science Incorporated.
Search via ReFindit
König, M., & Winkler, A. (2021). COVID-19: Lockdowns, Fatality Rates and GDP Growth. Intereconomics, 56, 32–39. https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10272-021-0948-y
Search via ReFindit
Korolev, I. (2020). Identification and Estimation of the SEIRD Epidemic Model for COVID-19. Retrieved February 8, 2021, form . https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3569367 https://ssrn.com/abstract=3569367
Search via ReFindit
Korotkov, M. (2020). Antikrizisnoe upravlenie. Moskva: Urajt, 406.
Search via ReFindit
Kucharski, A.J., Russell, T.W., Diamond, C., Liu, Y., Edmunds, J., Funk, S., & Eggo, R.M. (2020). Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: A mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect. Diseases, 20(5), 553–558. 30144-4 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)
Search via ReFindit
Larionov, I.K., Bragin, N.I., & Gerasin, A.N. (2019). Antikrizisnoe upravlenie. Moskva: Dashkov i K°, 380.
Search via ReFindit
Ludvigson, S.C., Ma, S., & Ng, S. (2020). COVID-19 and the Macroeconomic Effects of Costly Disasters. National Bureau of Economic Research. Retrieved February 11, 2021, from . https://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w26987 https://www.nber.org/papers/w26987
Search via ReFindit
Marinov, M. (2020). Denmark and COVID-19, BSP Policy Briefing Series, 5. Retrieved February 11, 2021, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/346036552
Search via ReFindit
Opiłowska, E. (2021). The Covid-19 crisis: the end of a borderless Europe? European Societies, 23(1). https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2020.1833065
Search via ReFindit
RAEX. Retrieved January, 29, 2021 from https://raex-a.ru/rankings/regions/ESG_raiting#metodika
Search via ReFindit
Shet, A., Ray, D., Malavige, N., Santosham, M., & Bar-Zeev, N. (2020). Differential COVID-19-attributable mortality and BCG vaccine use in countries. Retrieved February 8, 2021, form . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049478 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.01.20049478v1
Search via ReFindit
Sohn, C. (2014). Modelling Cross-Border Integration: The Role of Borders as a Resource. Geopolitics, 19(3), 587-608.
Search via ReFindit
Stopcoronavirus. Retrieved February 15, 2021, from https://стопкоронавирус.rf/information/
Search via ReFindit
Van Dam, Y.K. & Webbink, J.F. (2020). Reflecting on reflections on CoViD-19. CEREM, 4(2), 7–19. https://dx.doi.org/10.29015/cerem.876
Search via ReFindit
Will, M. (2020). The CoViD-19 Pandemic and the End of Corporate Risk Management as we know it. CEREM, 4(3), 89–115. https://dx.doi.org/10.29015/cerem.888
Search via ReFindit
World Health Organization. Retrieved March 24, 2021, from https://covid19.who.int/table
Search via ReFindit
Wu, J.T., Leung, K., & Leung, G.M. (2020). Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. Lancet Infect. Diseases, 395, 689–697. 30260-9 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)
Search via ReFindit
Zemtsov, S., Barinova, V., & Semenova, R. (2019). The Risks of Digitalization and the Adaptation of Regional Labor Markets in Russia. Foresight and STI Governance, 13 (2), 84–96. https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2019.2.84.96
Search via ReFindit
Zgonnik, L.V. (2015). Antikrizisnoe upravlenie. Moskva: Dashkov i K°, 208.
Search via ReFindit
Zizka, L. (2020). Coronavirus crisis communication: a wicked problem. Retrieved April 6, 2021, form https://hospitalityinsights.ehl.edu/covid19-crisis-communication
Search via ReFindit