Received:
2019-11-26 | Accepted:
2020-03-10 | Published:
2020-06-30
Title
Bail-in and interbank contagion risk: an application of FSQCA methodology
Abstract
This work uses fuzzy set theory and qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) to determine the causal configurations leading to interbank contagion in a resolution event. This study pioneers the introduction of fsQCA methodology in banking crisis analyses. The event providing the necessary data for this study is the resolution of the Spanish bank Banco Popular. We develop sufficient and necessary condition analyses to find the key metrics that lead to interbank contagion. The results demonstrate that weak solvency metrics, low asset quality and belonging to the same country where the resolution has been triggered tend to lead to higher contagion.
Keywords
bail-in, banking resolution, FSQCA, contagion risk
JEL classifications
G10
, G20
, G21
URI
http://jssidoi.org/jesi/article/542
DOI
Pages
2604-2614
Funding
Norat Roig-Tierno wish to thank Project GV/2019/063, funded by the Generalitat Valenciana, Spain, for supporting this research
This is an open access issue and all published articles are licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
References
Acharya, V. V, & Yorulmazer, T. (2008). Information Contagion and Bank Herding. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 40(1), 215-231. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25096246
Search via ReFindit
Ahnert, T., & Georg, C. (2012). Information contagion and systemic risk. Journal of Financial Stability, 35, 159-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2017.05.009
Search via ReFindit
Allen, F., & Gale, D. (2000). Financial Contagion. The Journal of Political Economy, 108(1), 1–33.
Search via ReFindit
Avgouleas, E., & Goodhart, C. (2015). Critical Reflections on Bank Bail-ins. Journal of Financial Regulation, 1(1), 3–29. https://doi.org/10.1093/jfr/fju009
Search via ReFindit
Boratyńska, K. (2016). FsQCA in corporate bankruptcy research. An innovative approach in food industry. Journal of Business Research, 69(11), 5529–5533. 10.1016/j.jbusres.2016.04.166
Search via ReFindit
Boratyńska, K., & Grzegorzewska, E. (2018). Bankruptcy prediction in the agribusiness sector: Lessons from quantitative and qualitative approaches. Journal of Business Research, (89(C)), 175–181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.01.028
Search via ReFindit
Elliot, T. Fuzzy-set-qualitative comparative analysis. Research Notes: Statistics Group 1–6 (2013). https://sites.socsci.uci.edu/~sgsa/docs/fsQCA_thomas_elliot.pdf
Search via ReFindit
European Banking Authority (EBA). (2018). RISK DASHBOARD - 2Q2018.
Search via ReFindit
European Commission. (2014). Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD). Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (Vol. 2014).
Search via ReFindit
European Parliament. (2017). The resolution of Banco Popular.
Search via ReFindit
Fiss, P. C. (2011). Building Better Causal Theories: A Fuzzy Set Approach to Typologies in Organization Research. Academy of Management Journal, 54(2), 393–420. https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2011.60263120
Search via ReFindit
García Álvarez-Coque, J. M., Mas-Verdú, F., & Roig-Tierno, N. (2017). Technological innovation versus non-technological innovation: different conditions in different regional contexts? Quality and Quantity, 51(5), 1955–1967. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-016-0394-2
Search via ReFindit
Grauwe, P. De. (2013). The new bail-in doctrine: A recipe for banking crises and depression in the eurozone. https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-publications/new-bail-doctrine-recipe-banking-crises-and-depression-eurozone/
Search via ReFindit
Havemann, R. (2018). Can creditor bail-in trigger contagion ? The experience of an emerging market experience of an emerging market. Review of Finance, (July).
Search via ReFindit
Hörisch, F. (2013). Finanzpolitik in schweren Zeiten – Eine Fuzzy-Set QCA der konjunkturpolitischen Reaktionen auf die Finanzkrise. Zeitschrift Fur Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft, 7(2), 117–141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12286-013-0152-y
Search via ReFindit
Hüser, A.-C., Hałaj, G., Kok, C., Perales, C., & van der Kraaij, A. (2017). The systemic implications of bail-in: a multi-layered network approach.
Search via ReFindit
Iyer, R., & Peydró, J. (2010). Interbank contagion at work: evidence from a natural experiment. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1147.pdf
Search via ReFindit
Magnus, M., Deslandes, G., & Dias, C. (2018). Non-performing loans in the Banking Union.
Search via ReFindit
Pericoli, M., & Sbracia, M. (2003). A primer on financial contagion. Journal of Economic Surveys.
Search via ReFindit
Ragin, C. C. (1987). The Comparative Method. Moving Beyond Qualitative and Quantitative Strategies.
Search via ReFindit
Ragin, C. C. (2000). Fuzzy-Set Social Science.
Search via ReFindit
Ragin, C. C. (2008). Redesigning Social Inquiry: Fuzzy Sets and Beyond. http://eprints.ncrm.ac.uk/1849/1/Resdisgning_social_inquiry.pdf
Search via ReFindit
Ragin, C. C. (2014). The comparative method: Moving beyond qualitative and quantitative strategies. Univ of California Press.
Search via ReFindit
Schneider, M. R., Schulze-Bentrop, C., & Paunescu, M. (2010). Mapping the institutional capital of high-tech firms: A fuzzy-set analysis of capitalist variety and export performance. Journal of International Business Studies, 41(2), 246–266. https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2009.36
Search via ReFindit
Single Resolution Board. (2016). Introduction to resolution planning. https://doi.org/10.2877/467651
Search via ReFindit
Single Resolution Board. (2017). Decision of the SRB on Banca Popolare di Vicenza
Search via ReFindit
Single Resolution Board. (2018). SRB Decision on ABLV Bank, AS (Vol. 8).
Search via ReFindit
Single Resolution Board. Decision of the SRB on Veneto Banca (2017). https://srb.europa.eu/sites/srbsite/files/srb-ees-2017-11_non-confidential.pdf
Search via ReFindit
Woodside, A. G., & Zhang, M. (2013). Cultural diversity and marketing transactions: Are market integration, large community size, and world religions necessary for fairness in ephemeral exchanges? Psychology & Marketing. https://doi.org/10.1002/mar.20603
Search via ReFindit
Young, K. L., & Park, S. H. (2013). Regulatory opportunism: Cross‐national patterns in national banking regulatory responses following the global financial crisis. Public Administration, 91(3), 561–581. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9299.2012.02102.x
Search via ReFindit
Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy sets. Information and Control, 8(3), 338–353. 90241-X https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)
Search via ReFindit